Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 11.2 treys per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
Donovan Mitchell has converted a whopping 5.0 foul shots per game this season, significantly more than his 4.2 mark last season.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (which can also provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to increase opportunities for the Thunder.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Thunder have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to their opposition this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 6th-lowest FG% in the NBA over the last 16 games (45.0%).