Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 10.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Donovan Mitchell has sunk 3.8 threes per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 10.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 3.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 35.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year while playing at home.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a tough one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have totaled the 7th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (36.5).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year while playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace in the league this year.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a tough one for threes; opposing starting SGs have posted the 3rd-lowest three percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (30.4%).