Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.6 shots per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.4 threes per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 8.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 36.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
On their home court, the Suns have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Suns is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a mere 25.3 foul shots per game with the home court advantage this year (5th-least in the NBA).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league when playing away from home this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Suns.
The matchup against the Suns is a challenging one for threes; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 5th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.8).

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