Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 9:35 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has made 3.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has played 31.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 81st percentile.
In terms of shots from downtown, the Cavaliers's stellar 40.7% rate of made threes places strongest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Denver is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Nuggets have the home court advantage (7.6).
The Cavaliers will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Favors Under

The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player performance across the board.