Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Made 3 Point Shots

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 6:53 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 8.7 shots from downtown per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.6 3-point attempts per game (27th-highest in the NBA) against the Wizards, branding this as a positive matchup.
The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should raise plays for the Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
In regard to three-point shots, the Cavaliers's lackluster 33.8% rate of made threes settles in as the 3rd-fewest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
This year, opposing squads have captured 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) vs. the Wizards (maintaining possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).