Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Made 3 Point Shots

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-121/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 10.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.6 minutes per game this year.
The Cavaliers are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers rank 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Donovan Mitchell will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually increases player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
As it relates to three-pointers, the Cavaliers's lackluster 35.4% rate of converted threes places 6th-lowest in the league this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 4.9 three attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Bucks, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).