Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Made 3 Point Shots

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Houston Rockets · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 11:54 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 8.7 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell places in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 35.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for three-pointers; when the Rockets are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 21st-most threes per game in the league this year (2.3).
The Cavaliers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to raise stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's accumulated overall this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league while at home this year with respect to treys.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
When playing away from home, the Rockets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).