Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Made 3 Point Shots

Brooklyn Nets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 23, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 8:11 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 35.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The matchup against Brooklyn is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Nets are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 23rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.2).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.9 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Nets have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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