Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Made 3 Point Shots

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 5:56 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-138/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.2 treys per game while on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has played 33.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile.
The Wizards have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against Washington is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; when the Wizards are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.4).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home.