Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-138/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.6 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile.
The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 29th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.6).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.