Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 27, 2025

Updated Mar 27, 2025 11:24 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 6.0 assists per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 1.2 more than he's tallied overall this year at home.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 82nd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 31.0 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The Spurs have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should boost plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell figures to get a boost in productivity for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).