Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 21, 2025

Updated Mar 21, 2025 10:59 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has totaled 4.8 assists per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's best by this metric in recent games.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 31.3 minutes per game this year.
The 8th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).
Donovan Mitchell is expected to suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.