Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 3, 2025 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has totaled 4.8 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the league by this metric in recent games: 90th percentile.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

The Cavaliers check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell figures to see a decline in performance in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this contest.