Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Utah Jazz · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 23, 2024 7:11 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has totaled 4.3 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the league's best by this standard in recent days: 85th percentile.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 30.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The 2nd-quickest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Cavaliers check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).