Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2024

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · May 9, 2024

Updated May 9, 2024 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has totaled a whopping 5.9 assists per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 4.6 assists per game last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game away from home this year.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the visting team with only 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Donovan Mitchell will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers stat production for all stats.

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