Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 27, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 2:59 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has tallied a terrific 6.0 assists per game this season, a big improvement over his 4.6 assists per game last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell places in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 35.1 minutes per game away from home this year.
The 7th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.2 fouls per game this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games at home, which ought to reduce plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases stat production across the board.