Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic · Apr 22, 2024

Updated Apr 22, 2024 6:51 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has posted 6.5 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this standard in recent days: 96th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 35.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The 10th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell should get a boost in output for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Magic have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.