Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 3d 03:18:32 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 20, 2024 1:06 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has compiled 6.6 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric recently: 96th percentile.
Donovan Mitchell has played 35.3 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell is expected to see a spike in effectiveness for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games while traveling, which should reduce plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.