Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 3:33 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -156.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has totaled an impressive 6.1 assists per game this year, significantly higher than his 4.6 assists per game last year.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 96th percentile.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (78th percentile).
The slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 4th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Cavaliers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.