Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2024

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 1, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 9:02 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has put up 9.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's put up in all games this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 35.7 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
With the home court advantage, the Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.8 more than he's been called for overall this year on the road.
The 6th-slowest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player production in all stat categories.

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