Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs LA Clippers · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:13 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 8.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's averaged overall this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.9 minutes per game at home this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (80th percentile).
The 9th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing teams have captured 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can create more chances for offense).

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