Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 20, 2024 7:56 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has put up 7.2 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's put up over the course of the year.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 35.6 minutes per game this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
The 6th-most sluggish pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Hawks have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production across the board.