Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 7:47 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 7.1 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from facing the 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell is expected to see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game at home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Bucks have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).