Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 7:13 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has posted 6.7 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's posted in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.3 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Cavaliers have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has brought down 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Bulls (preserving possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).