Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 1:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has compiled 7.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's compiled overall this season.
Donovan Mitchell has played 35.5 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the speediest pace offense in the league this year (the Wizards).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 5thbest in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Donovan Mitchell will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally boosts player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Wizards have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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