Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Houston Rockets · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 7:18 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 6.1 assists per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell places in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 35.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The Cavaliers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to raise stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's accumulated overall this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
When playing away from home, the Rockets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).