Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 7:13 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 5.2 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 93rd percentile.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 9 games without the home court advantage, which should raise possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell figures to see a rise in output for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 8thworst in in the NBA as the road team with only 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year, opposing clubs have come down with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers (continuing possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).