Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 3:13 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has posted 5.4 assists per game while at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.5 minutes per game on the road this year.
The Raptors have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost opportunities for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 8 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have captured 9.8 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors (losing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The 9th-slowest pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.

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