Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 23, 2023

Updated Apr 23, 2023 4:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-154/+126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -158 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 6.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 35.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (83rd percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Knicks have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production for all stats.

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