Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 15, 2023 6:12 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has posted 4.6 assists per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Knicks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Cavaliers.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).