Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 11:37 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 4.2 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the league leaders in this category over this stretch: 87th percentile.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase possessions for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Hawks have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (81st percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
Donovan Mitchell will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production across the board.

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