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Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell Assists
Player Prop - 3/10/2023

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

 
 
 
Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Donovan Mitchell has averaged 5.4 assists per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category.
  • Donovan Mitchell has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile.
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.
  • Donovan Mitchell will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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