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Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell Assists
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

 
 
 
Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Donovan Mitchell has averaged 5.4 assists per game away from home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
  • Donovan Mitchell has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Donovan Mitchell has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.
  • Donovan Mitchell will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance across the board.

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