Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 7:27 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has totaled 5.1 assists per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA in this category.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 33.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Pistons have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (83rd percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home.

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