Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 6:11 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has posted 5.2 assists per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home.
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.