Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 4.9 assists per game this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard recently.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 34.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).