Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has posted 5.2 assists per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 34.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Bulls have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (78th percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace in the league this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).