Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 6.0 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 34.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.
The Pelicans have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.