Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs LA Clippers · Jan 29, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has compiled 5.9 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 35.5 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
Donovan Mitchell will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally increases player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The Clippers have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games while on the road (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Clippers.