Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has totaled 5.9 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's totaled over the course of the year.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (which can also provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to increase opportunities for the Thunder.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Thunder have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to their opposition this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Donovan Mitchell will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production across the board.