Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2022

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 29, 2022

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 35.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Pacers.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has put up a mere 4.5 assists per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 5.4 assists per game last season.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Pacers have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
Donovan Mitchell will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.