Domantas Sabonis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2023

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Domantas Sabonis

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 18, 2023

Updated Mar 18, 2023 12:16 PM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has tallied 3.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.
Domantas Sabonis has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 92nd percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Kings.
The Wizards have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has committed 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.4 higher than he's committed in all games this year on the road.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Domantas Sabonis will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases stat production across the board.

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