Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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Domantas Sabonis

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 24, 2025 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis lands in the 96th percentile for scoring proficiency with a remarkable 62.1% rate this year.
Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 67.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 16.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season while on the road.
Domantas Sabonis has averaged 35.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Nuggets).

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing away from home this year.
The number of 3-pointers attempted against Nikola Jokic has been very low (1.4 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
Domantas Sabonis will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

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