Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has attempted 16.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 3.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis lands in the 92nd percentile for three-point effectiveness with a a superb 43.3% rate this year.
Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 35.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The matchup against Anthony Davis is a good one for three-pointers; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 42.3% of their three-pointers (97th percentile).
The Kings are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from facing the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Lakers).

Favors Under

When it comes to 3-point shots, the Kings's poor 33.8% rate of successful threes away from home rates 6th-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings.
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (maintaining possessions that can lead to extra chances for offense).
The matchup vs. Anthony Davis is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.5 free throws per game (7th percentile).
Domantas Sabonis stands to experience a decrease in productivity across the board due to playing on the visting team in this game.