Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 10:18 PM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis rates in the 84th percentile for shots made with the home court advantage, tallying an enormous 6.6 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.6 minutes per game this year.
The 6th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Jazz have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should boost plays for the Kings.
The Kings have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (97th percentile).
In regard to shooting, the Kings's subpar 46.5% field goal percentage settles in as the 10th-worst in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposition's starting Cs have tallied 1.1 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Utah Jazz, resulting in a tough matchup.
Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Jazz (saving possessions that can produce additional opportunities for offense).
In comparison to last year's 73.9% clip, Domantas Sabonis's foul-shot prowess has declined this year to 63.5%.