Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-116/-111).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has sunk 68.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 6.1% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 75.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 48.2% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year away from home.
Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 94th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (99th percentile).
The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one; when the Nuggets are at home, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs this year (11.2).
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (15.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).