Domantas Sabonis Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 9:53 PM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 43.3% of his three-point attempts at home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis places in the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 34.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 9thbest in in the league when playing at home with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have brought down 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets (losing possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 22nd percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 1.3 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis lands in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.5 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged 20.8% on 3-pointers (10th-weakest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, making this a challenging matchup.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Sacramento Kings.