Dillon Brooks Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 2, 2024 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 30.4 minutes per game while at home this year.
The 5th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Rockets.
The Rockets will likely see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increase player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Raptors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).