Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2025

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · May 4, 2025

Updated May 5, 2025 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks places in the 91st percentile for threes hit with the home court advantage, registering 2.5 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 31.1 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The matchup against the Warriors is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the highest three rate in the NBA this year (47.0%).
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks has successfully made 95.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games at home, 11.6% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while at home.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Rockets have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Rockets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Warriors).
This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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