Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2025

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 30, 2025

Updated May 1, 2025 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has made 48.0% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 5.5% more than he's made overall this season.
Dillon Brooks has sunk 3.1 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from three overall this year on his home court.
Dillon Brooks has tallied 31.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Rockets have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year.
The 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Warriors).
The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).

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